Good News! There’s really activity in the land market!

03/08/2012 in Spit & Whittle

"I'll never be hungry again."

I thought you’d be interested in an overview of actual activity we’re seeing in our office. Already in March, we’ve had:
* An offer accepted on one of our commercial properties.
* Two prospects scheduled appointments to write offers on different properties.
* One of our shopping center clients has had a tenant request to sign a long term lease because his business is prospering.
* Calls from other commercial agents with land needs for apartments, shopping center land, and other miscellenous property.
Again, that’s just the first week of March! That may be more activity than we’ve had in the last two years… COMBINED! So, what have we done to make sure you benefit from this surge in the market?

First of all, having paid attention to the economists speaking to a number of groups last year, I’ve been “freshening up” my listing materials and re-evaluating the current market values for all my active listings.

Second, I’m actively reworking my website, www.WoodHughes.com. The first part that’s ready is an online “blog” version of my old “Added Value” newsletter. You can now go online and get much more of the same kind of information, tips, and recent sales data that you liked so much in the eight page “dead tree” bi-monthly newsletter. If you chose, you can even subscribe to e-mail notifications of new articles when they are posted. Additionally, you can post your own comments and have discussions with other visitors to Added Value: The Blog.

I’m also working on a system to allow you to actually see our records of all the activity that’s going on pertaining to your listings anytime you’d like to go online to see them! If you have a question to ask, you will be able to post it in your record and either I or one of my staff will be able to respond to you. Don’t worry! Because I think it’s important to continue to send out a real “dead tree” letter like this every month, you won’t be missing this part of our service.

That brings us to the other service improvement we’ve been providing but never notified you about. Because of how our EQUITAX Southern Cresent business dovetails into our WH&A real estate business, we’re able to provide you with a fully staffed office located near the entrance to Eagles Landing Country Club. Our Client Service Specialist Cindy Everett is here from 10AM to 5PM Monday through Friday, keeping track of all our client follow up. Lee Ann Bartlett, our Chief Appraiser, is always available to advise on values of existing listings, prospective listings and potential properties being considered for purchase. Of course, Gloria Hughes is still putting up with me and taking care of managing the office and the checkbook, and I still do the stuff I do to figure out what you and other folks need and a way to make it happen. In other words, we’ve not only survived the Great Recession, we’ve thrived!

That’s all for this month. If you have time, tell me what you think.

Do you have 3G cell service?

03/08/2012 in Bits & Pieces

This map is from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) showing the availability of 3G Cell communications in the nation. This map is of just Georgia, but it’s very interesting to those of you who travel. What kind of experience do you have with your carrier?

DAR Chapter Cleans Revolutionary War Headstone with D/2 Biological Solution

03/07/2012 in Bits & Pieces, Uncategorized

I’m a member of the Sons of the American Revolution, the Sons of the Revolution, and the Huguenot Society. This chemical cleanning solution promo came to me through that and I thought that a lot of property owners might be interested in it as well. Tell me what you think.

This photo is part of a power point presentation sent to me almost 2 years ago by the Kan Yuk sa DAR
Chapter in Florida. Notice that the third photo labeled “AfterPlaque Mounting” taken about 3 months after
the initial application demonstrates how D/2 Biological Solution continues to work long after the original
cleaning. If you would like me to send you the complete powerpoint presentation please email me at
tkinnari@me.com

D/2 is totally biodegradable and contains no bleach, acid or salt. It will not harm plants, stone or you!

It has been fully tested by our National Park Service for the Veterans Administration and is used by
both organizations for the cleaning of headstones. It is also used by members of the Association for
Gravestone Studies, Alabama Historical Commission, Georgia Municipal Cemetery Association, The Colonial
Williamsburg Foundation, The Frank Lloyd Wright Foundation, Texas Historic Commission, Georgia Municipal
Cemetery Association, and many others

Sites where D/2 has been used include:
Tomb of the Unknown Soldier
Congressional Cemetery
Old Burial Hill in Plymouth
United Staes Navel Academy Cemetery
Westpoint Cemetery
City of Savannah Cemeteries

D/2 BIOLOGICAL SOLUTION’S NEWEST DISTRIBUTOR
Granite City Tool Co.
Contact:
Jerry Mascola 800 451 4570
granitecitytoolco@myfairpoint.net

Technical questions? Please contact me.
Ted Kinnari
President
D/2 Biological Solutions
917 693 7441
tkinnari@me.com

Thoughts on Planning

03/07/2012 in Bits & Pieces

“The Technician resists planning because things never go as planned. The Entrepreneur resists planning because it’s boring and tedious. The Manager embraces planning, because it’s the Manager who knows it is the only way for the Technician’s efforts to bear fruit and the Entrepreneur’s dreams to become more than just dreams.” Michael Gerber, E-Myth.com

Can Commercial Real Estate Investors Help Revive Single-Family Housing?

03/07/2012 in Economic Outlook, Recent Sales

Feb 28, 2012 3:34 PM, By David Bodamer, Editorial Director, National Real Estate Investor Online

With the latest data from the Case-Shiller National index showing that housing prices have fallen for the eighth straight month and are now back to January 2003 levels, the housing crisis appears no closer to its end.

But might there be an unlikely savior on the horizon for the single-family sector in the form of commercial real estate investors? On Monday, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced a pilot program through which it would take bids from investors to buy foreclosed residential properties in bulk for the purpose of turning them into rentals.

The pilot program is the result of an effort launched last summer by the FHFA, along with the Treasury Department and the Department of Housing and Urban Development, to solicit outside input on how the government could deal with its millions of real estate owned (REO) residential assets and help turn the housing market around. The first pool of assets is a group of 2,490 properties, including 2,849 units in some of the hardest-hit residential markets: Atlanta, Chicago, Florida, Las Vegas, Los Angeles and Phoenix. There are 1,743 single-family homes, 527 condos, seven manufactured homes, one co-op, 118 duplexes, 36 three-unit buildings and 58 four-unit buildings.

To date, investors have purchased homes in foreclosure auctions and rented them out. But investors can only buy one or two assets at a time this way. The idea here is to enable investors to buy larger pools of foreclosed homes in order to get them on the market as rentals and deal with the glut of troubled assets more quickly.

This is another important milestone in our initiative designed to reduce taxpayer losses, stabilize neighborhoods and home values, shift to more private management of properties and reduce the supply of REO properties in the marketplace,� FHFA Acting Director Edward J. DeMarco said in a statement.

Investors must fill out a qualifying form on the FHFA�s REO Asset Disposition page, post a security deposit and sign a confidentiality agreement to access detailed information about the properties. According to the FHFA, only investors who qualified through this process will be eligible to bid.

Initiative�s backers
The concept of involving the private sector to help solve the foreclosure problem has some high-profile backers.

Lew Ranieri, who helped pioneer mortgage-backed securities in the 1970s, and Kenneth Rosen, chairman of real estate market research firm Rosen Consulting Group, are the main authors on a policy paper issued this month laying out how the private sector�s involvement could help turn around the housing market and deliver attractive returns to investors.

�Without question, this is an opportunistic place to make investments,� Rosen says. �It�s similar to what opportunity funds have done with commercial real estate. There are more than one million units to be auctioned. Instead of having small players buy the assets, this would allow for bulk acquisitions.�

Overall, 453,266 residential units are currently classified as REO. Of those, the federal government holds nearly 50 percent of the inventory through Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and another 9 percent with the Federal Housing Administration. In addition, private label securities hold 33.3 percent of the REO inventory and banks hold 17.5 percent.

But gaining control of those assets is a time-consuming process. In existing auctions, properties are sold one at a time. Private equity investors have gotten involved in converting vacant homes into rental properties, according to Rosen. But creating bulk programs could increase interest by making it easier for large investors to amass portfolios.

Investors then have several strategies for how to handle the assets. According to the policy paper, �Homes can be purchased for three potential outcomes, depending on a range of factors: the micro-conditions of the home, employment and income of potential tenant/owners and the macro-conditions of the neighborhood and market.� Specifically, investors could choose to offer the units in rent-to-own, rent-to-rent or resale arrangements.

In a rent-to-own scenario, an investor would enter a long-term relationship with a tenant who would offer the renter a right-of-refusal to buy the home. The lease could also be structured to give the tenant a share of any upside in a property�s sale. According to the policy paper, �This share can be structured to be payable regardless of whether or not the tenant purchases the home or be restricted to only if the tenant converts to ownership. This share can be pro-rated down or eliminated if a tenant leaves before the five-year term.�

In a rent-to-rent scenario, the investor operates the asset as a straight rental property. And a resale would simply involve moving the asset to an owner-occupier.

�The private sector has a lot of solutions to the mortgage problem,� Rosen says. �They are engaged and want to be involved. I think this is something that has to be pushed as fast as it can.�

One caveat Rosen notes is that the government needs to ensure that the participants in the program are legitimate players. For example, the policy paper notes, �Programs that we deem to be unscrupulous are requiring tenants to pay a down-payment when signing a lease. We believe first and last month�s rent and/or a security deposit in keeping with state law is acceptable, but do not believe additional advance payments are warranted.�

If all goes well, Rosen thinks the pilot program could be expanded �full scale� within a year with the government offering its inventory in bulk sales as well as banks and private-label securities conducting similar programs

Warren Buffett Says He’d Buy a Couple Hundred Thousand Homes

03/06/2012 in Economic Outlook

By Katherine Tarbox, Senior Editor, REALTOR® Magazine
Warren Buffett, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, said yesterday on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” that buying single-family homes is such a great investment right now, if it were practical, he’d buy a couple hundred thousand of them. Given how low rates are for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgages (3.95 percent, according to the Freddie Mac Mortgage Index), Buffett told CNBC’s Becky Quick that homes, held over the long term, provide a better investment than stocks. If you factor in that prices in some areas are at a 10-year low and inventory levels are high, the conditions are ideal for buying.

While the “Omaha Oracle” has been right about a lot of investments, his opinion on housing hasn’t always been on the mark. At last year’s annual Berkshire Hathaway meeting, he said 2011 was going to be the year that housing prices were going to rebound. In a letter to his shareholders sent last weekend, he apologized for being “dead wrong.” He explained his belief that housing is a sound investment at least in part the inventory of new homes isn’t growing at a rate that will satisfy future demand. People living with their in-laws to save money, he quipped, will find that attractive for only so long.

You have to give Buffett credit for putting his money where his mouth is. Home Services of America Inc., a Berkshire Hathaway Affiliate, is one of the largest independent residential real estate and settlement servicing companies in the U.S. While Buffett wouldn’t comment completely on Berkshire Hathaway’s stake with each of the banks, the fund actively invests in them. He says if he could own only one bank stock right now, it would be Wells Fargo.

Equifax sees consumer comeback in ‘12

03/06/2012 in Economic Outlook

Atlanta Business Chronicle Date: Monday, March 5, 2012, 10:00am EST

Consumers are set to make a comeback in 2012, according to CreditForecast.com, a joint product of Atlanta-based Equifax Inc. and Moody’s Analytics.

Households are cutting debt — consumer balances are down $187.8 billion from early 2009 totals. Credit more appropriately matches consumer wealth and income levels today, the report said.

Home mortgages continue to see the highest percentage of delinquencies, but delinquency rates in auto, bankcard, and consumer finance have returned to pre-recession levels, the report noted.

And student lending is up, as are auto sales.

“After spending recent years in the financial doldrums, U.S. consumers are poised to make a comeback in 2012,” said Equifax Chief Economist Amy Crews Cutts, in a statement. “The most promise we have seen has primarily been within the consumer spending and auto financing sector, while the housing market continues to see incremental progress towards gaining traction in the coming months.”

***

What does it look like to you?

Housing Indicators Continue to be Positive

03/02/2012 in Ask An ALC, Development News, Economic Outlook

Recently published data concerning housing and the broader economy reveal good news for the home building industry.
The NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index, a measure of builder confidence, reached 29 in February. This was the fifth consecutive monthly increase and the highest level for the index since April 2007.
Housing starts in January were up 1.5% from the previous month, reaching a 690,000 annualized pace. New single-family home sales were also up in January, which at a 321,000 seasonally-adjusted annualized rate, neared levels last seen in April 2010 at the end of the home buyer tax credit program. Existing home sales were also up (4.3%) in January.
These positive trends are the result of a healing national economy and improving conditions for housing markets. For example, the NAHB/Wells Fargo Housing Opportunity Index reached the highest level in its 20-year history in January.
These improving conditions were also reflected in the February National Association of Realtors Pending Home Sales Index, which was up 8% from a year ago. And house prices are finding stable ground, with the Federal Housing Finance Agency national house price index up nearly 2% from its lowest level in March 2011 and most Census regions showing gains.
The Case-Shiller national home price index fell somewhat, but there is considerable local variation among the metropolitan areas in that measure.
Data from the Mortgage Bankers Association shows a slowing starts rate for foreclosures, although some of that slowing may be due to judicial and administrative delays for distressed homes in late 2011.
And more broadly, consumers are gaining confidence with respect to their own economic status and their views of the labor market.
Despite these positives, a few dark clouds remain: lending for home building remains overly restrictive, and some producer prices, including gypsum, appear to be on the rise.

S.C. Senate overrides veto, cancels Savannah harbor deepening permit

03/02/2012 in Development News, Government Watch

March 1, 2012 – 3:48pm By SARITA CHOUREY Savannah Morning News

COLUMBIA – The South Carolina Legislature has voted to override Gov. Nikki Haley’s veto of a resolution that suspends a state agency’s power to issue dredging permits on the Savannah River, and retroactively cancels the permit awarded in November for the Savannah Harbor Expansion Project.

By a vote of 39-0, the S.C. Senate voted to override Haley’s veto of H. 4627, following the House’s Tuesday vote of 111-1. The resolution, H. 4627, said the S.C. Department of Health and Environmental Control had “unlawfully usurped” the authority of the S.C. Savannah River Maritime Commission, when it awarded a dredging permit.

The explosive action occurred on Nov. 10, when the DHEC Board approved a settlement agreement between the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers and DHEC staff, after the state of Georgia offered concessions related to a financing safeguard for the operation of an oxygenation system and setting aside addition wetlands.

The water quality certification that was awarded to further the Georgia Ports Authority’s plans to deepen about 38 miles from 42 feet to 48 feet drew a furious reaction from South Carolina lawmakers, who said Georgia’s plan would put South Carolina’s ports at a disadvantage and damage the ecology of the Savannah River. So the lawmakers passed H. 4627, aimed at undoing DHEC’s decision. Haley vetoed it on Monday. And lawmakers quickly trumped her veto.

After Thursday’s unanimous vote, S.C. Senate leaders characterized the action as righting a wrong.

“The governor’s veto of this resolution was just as off base as DHEC’s decision,” said Senate President Pro Tempore Glenn McConnell, a Charleston Republican, in a statement.

“This is not about separation of powers. It’s about reining in a rogue agency that wasn’t following science or the law. Our vote today is not only about protecting our port infrastructure and the environment. It’s about sending a message that state agencies are not free to disregard the law.”

Earlier in the week, McConnell had called Georgia’s $650 million project “the rape of the river.”

A DHEC spokesman has declined to comment on the dispute, citing pending legislation in the S.C. Administrative Law Court leveled by the state Maritime Commission and environmental groups represented by the Southern Environmental Law Center.

The deepening of the Port of Savannah is considered to be the Peach State’s most crucial public works project and is intended to prepare the channel for larger post-Panamax container ships expected in 2014.

A spokesman for Haley, who has called Georgia a “sister state” and urged lawmakers not to promote the Port of Charleston by obstructing the Port of Savannah, did not immediately respond to questions Thursday.

CoreLogic: Atlanta underwater properties up in Q4

03/01/2012 in Economic Outlook

Atlanta Business Chronicle Thursday, March 1, 2012, 2:17pm EST

Nearly 40 percent of all residential properties in metro Atlanta were underwater in the fourth quarter, according to CoreLogic.

Negative equity — or underwater — means borrowers owe more on their mortgages than their homes are worth.

In metro Atlanta, 37.4 percent, or 456,242, of all residential properties with a mortgage were in negative equity in the fourth quarter of 2011. This compares with 34.5 percent, or 420,160 properties in the third quarter.

Another 6.8 percent, or 83,248 residential properties, were in near negative equity in the fourth quarter, compared with 7 percent, or 85,819, in the third quarter.

Nevada had the highest negative equity percentage with 61 percent of all of its mortgaged properties underwater, followed by Arizona (48 percent), Florida (44 percent), Michigan (35 percent) and Georgia (33 percent).

Nationally, 1.1 million, or 22.8 percent, of all residential properties with a mortgage were in negative equity at the end of the fourth quarter. This is up from 10.7 million properties, 22.1 percent, in the third quarter of 2011.

Mark Fleming, chief economist with CoreLogic:

“Due to the seasonal declines in home prices and slowing foreclosure pipeline which is depressing home prices, the negative equity share rose in late 2011. The negative equity share is back to the same level as Q3 2009, which is when we began reporting negative equity using this methodology. The high level of negative equity and the inability to pay is the ‘double trigger’ of default, and the reason we have such a significant foreclosure pipeline.”